Shangyu Pterosaurvs
Nantong Haimen Codion
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nantong Haimen Codion · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shangyu Pterosaur 0-0 Nantong Haimen Codion, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shangyu Pterosaur 1-1 Nantong Haimen Codion
Original prediction
Nantong Haimen Codion
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.95 | 18.2% | 25.2% | 7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 30.9% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 54.1% | 43.9% | -10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.26 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Projected Score
Shangyu Pterosaur 0–0 Nantong Haimen Codion
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Nantong Haimen Codion
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Nantong Haimen Codion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80