GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Shangyu Pterosaur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Jiangxi Liansheng are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (45.8 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shangyu PterosaurDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jiangxi LianshengDDWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shangyu PterosaurJiangxi Liansheng
30.0Attack40.0
58.3Defence71.7
43.3Form53.3
45.8Power56.8
0.53xG0.94
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