Shangyu Pterosaurvs
BIT
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shangyu Pterosaur · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shangyu Pterosaur 0-0 BIT, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shangyu Pterosaur 1-1 BIT
Original prediction
Shangyu Pterosaur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.20 | 40.7% | 42.2% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.7% | 29.1% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.14 | 28.5% | 28.6% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Shangyu Pterosaur 0–0 BIT
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Shangyu Pterosaur
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Shangyu Pterosaur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40