GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

58.4%

Model confidence

10.0%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SHANGHAI SIPGLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wuhan Three TownsWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SHANGHAI SIPGWuhan Three Towns
54.5Attack47.6
53.0Defence39.7
45.5Form31.7
52.3Power41.3
2.21xG1.20
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