FA CupFA Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:12
SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG

Home
DL
11
Full time
Sichuan Jiuniu

Sichuan Jiuniu

Away
L
Pudong Football Stadium
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
SHANGHAI SIPG(43%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
SHANGHAI SIPG
43%
Draw
23%
Sichuan Jiuniu
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
SHANGHAI SIPG
54
Sichuan Jiuniu
9
Defence
SHANGHAI SIPG
27
Sichuan Jiuniu
6
Momentum
SHANGHAI SIPG
17
Sichuan Jiuniu
0
Danger (xG)
SHANGHAI SIPG
1.35
Sichuan Jiuniu
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (SHANGHAI SIPG)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Sichuan Jiuniu)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (SHANGHAI SIPG)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sichuan Jiuniu)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
DLWD
Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu
LLL

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
SHANGHAI SIPG43%
Draw23%
Sichuan Jiuniu34%

SHANGHAI SIPG leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

SHANGHAI SIPG head into this in FA Cup fixture at Pudong Football Stadium in mixed form (DL), while Sichuan Jiuniu arrive in mixed form (L). SHANGHAI SIPG have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Sichuan Jiuniu over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. SHANGHAI SIPG's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable Sichuan Jiuniu defence (6/100), while Sichuan Jiuniu's attack is up against a vulnerable SHANGHAI SIPG backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in SHANGHAI SIPG's favour.

SHANGHAI SIPG have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. Sichuan Jiuniu have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between SHANGHAI SIPG and Sichuan Jiuniu in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects SHANGHAI SIPG to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: SHANGHAI SIPG 4337%, Draw 2298%, Sichuan Jiuniu 3365%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

SHANGHAI SIPG

SHANGHAI SIPG

D
@ Yunnan Yukun
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Qingdao Youth Island
4 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Henan Jianye
27 Jun 2026
21
D
vs Hangzhou Greentown
15 May 2026
22
Sichuan Jiuniu

Sichuan Jiuniu

L
@ Tianjin Teda
4 Jul 2026
03
L
vs Chengdu Better City
27 Jun 2026
23
L
@ Henan Jianye
15 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

GoalVio's model predicts SHANGHAI SIPG to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Sichuan Jiuniu?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more