GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/6/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

SHANGHAI SIPG are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SHANGHAI SIPGLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sichuan JiuniuLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SHANGHAI SIPGSichuan Jiuniu
54.5Attack45.5
53.0Defence37.9
45.5Form34.8
52.3Power41.0
2.27xG1.14
View match centre →