GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

SHANGHAI SIPG are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SHANGHAI SIPG hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Super League, while SHANGHAI SIPG holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SHANGHAI SIPG

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

45.4%

SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SHANGHAI SIPGLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Qingdao Youth IslandLDLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
SHANGHAI SIPGQingdao Youth Island
54.5Attack37.7
53.0Defence58.0
45.5Form47.8
52.3Power50.1
1.49xG0.97
View match centre →