SHANGHAI SIPGvs
Daejeon Citizen
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1 Daejeon Citizen
Original prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.9% | 39.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.6% | 26.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.6% | 33.6% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20