SHANGHAI SIPGvs
Công An Nhân Dân
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Elite · 10/27/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SHANGHAI SIPG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3 Công An Nhân Dân
Original prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.3% | 48.8% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.4% | 24.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.33 | 21.3% | 26.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
SHANGHAI SIPG
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
SHANGHAI SIPG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80