SHANGHAI SIPGvs
Chengdu Better City
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chengdu Better City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SHANGHAI SIPG 3-0 Chengdu Better City
Original prediction
Chengdu Better City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.6% | 36.4% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.4% | 23.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 29.0% | 40.2% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Chengdu Better City
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Chengdu Better City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80