Shanghai Shenhuavs
Zenit
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Shenhua 0-0 Zenit
Original prediction
Zenit
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.90 | 12.1% | 19.5% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.74 | 16.6% | 22.2% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 71.4% | 58.3% | -13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00