Shanghai Shenhuavs
Yunnan Yukun
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 10/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Shenhua 7-1 Yunnan Yukun
Original prediction
Shanghai Shenhua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 59.7% | 50.5% | -9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 19.2% | 20.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 21.1% | 29.3% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.2–16%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Shenhua
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00