GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Two · 9/17/2026, 12:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Tampines Rovers

Original prediction

Shanghai Shenhua

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3069.6%49.7%-19.9 pts
Draw5.0118.1%24.7%6.6 pts
Away7.3412.3%25.7%13.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-19.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–07%

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

49.7%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaWLLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tampines RoversWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ShenhuaTampines Rovers
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
50.0Power23.7
1.97xG1.35
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