GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shanghai Shenhua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Qingdao Jonoon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Qingdao JonoonDDWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai ShenhuaQingdao Jonoon
60.3Attack44.9
46.0Defence36.2
50.8Form30.4
53.6Power38.9
2.61xG1.28
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