GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/9/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Shenhua · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Shanghai Shenhua are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Shenhua hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Super League, while Shanghai Shenhua holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Shenhua

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Shanghai Shenhua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai ShenhuaLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongDLDWW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai ShenhuaChongqing Tongliang Long
60.3Attack36.2
46.0Defence60.9
50.8Form43.5
53.6Power49.5
1.55xG1.07
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