Shanghai Secondvs
Yichun Grand Tiger
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shanghai Second 0-0 Yichun Grand Tiger, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Second 1-1 Yichun Grand Tiger
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.6% | 34.3% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 31.9% | 33.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 26.4% | 32.3% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.81 · Draw 1.81 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Shanghai Second 0–0 Yichun Grand Tiger
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.3%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Shanghai SecondDLDLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Yichun Grand TigerLWWDD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Shanghai SecondYichun Grand Tiger
30.6Attack22.2
44.4Defence65.3
22.2Form34.7
35.2Power43.3
0.66xG0.75