Shanghai Secondvs
Hubei Chufeng Heli
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hubei Chufeng Heli · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shanghai Second 0-1 Hubei Chufeng Heli, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Second 0-0 Hubei Chufeng Heli
Original prediction
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.8% | 23.0% | -15.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 30.8% | 26.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.4% | 50.9% | 20.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.5 pts
Projected Score
Shanghai Second 0–1 Hubei Chufeng Heli
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Hubei Chufeng Heli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40