Shanghai Secondvs
Guangdong Mingtu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/17/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangdong Mingtu · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shanghai Second 0-0 Guangdong Mingtu, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Second 1-1 Guangdong Mingtu
Original prediction
Guangdong Mingtu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.91 | 30.9% | 21.4% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.0% | 30.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.1% | 48.6% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Projected Score
Shanghai Second 0–0 Guangdong Mingtu
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Guangdong Mingtu
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Guangdong Mingtu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60