Shanghai Port IIvs
Shenzhen 2028
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/11/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Port II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shanghai Port II 1-0 Shenzhen 2028, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Port II 2-1 Shenzhen 2028
Original prediction
Shanghai Port II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 34.6% | 38.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.6% | 30.9% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.8% | 30.5% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Shanghai Port II 1–0 Shenzhen 2028
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Port II
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Shanghai Port II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80