Shanghai Port IIvs
Langfang Glory City
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/23/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Port II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shanghai Port II 1-0 Langfang Glory City, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Port II 2-3 Langfang Glory City
Original prediction
Shanghai Port II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.0% | 46.8% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 20.2% | 23.8% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Projected Score
Shanghai Port II 1–0 Langfang Glory City
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Port II
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Shanghai Port II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80