Shanghai Port IIvs
Jiangxi Liansheng
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shanghai Port II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shanghai Port II 0-0 Jiangxi Liansheng, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shanghai Port II 1-0 Jiangxi Liansheng
Original prediction
Shanghai Port II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.1% | 39.5% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.9% | 31.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 28.9% | 28.6% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Shanghai Port II 0–0 Jiangxi Liansheng
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Shanghai Port II
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Shanghai Port II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60