GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 4/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shanghai Port II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shanghai Port II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Changchun Xidu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shanghai Port II hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 37.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the League Two, while Shanghai Port II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shanghai Port II

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Shanghai Port II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shanghai Port IIWWDWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun XiduDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Shanghai Port IIChangchun Xidu
54.0Attack20.6
69.8Defence57.1
58.7Form27.0
61.0Power37.7
1.59xG0.37
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