Shandong Taishan IIvs
Jiangxi Liansheng
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/26/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Taishan II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shandong Taishan II 0-0 Jiangxi Liansheng, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shandong Taishan II 2-1 Jiangxi Liansheng
Original prediction
Shandong Taishan II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.1% | 41.6% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 31.8% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.3% | 26.6% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
Shandong Taishan II 0–0 Jiangxi Liansheng
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Shandong Taishan II
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Shandong Taishan II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00