Shandong Taishan IIvs
Guizhou Zhucheng
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/11/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shandong Taishan II 0-0 Guizhou Zhucheng, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shandong Taishan II 1-1 Guizhou Zhucheng
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.2% | 34.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.84 | 31.6% | 32.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.2% | 33.3% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.84 · Draw 1.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Shandong Taishan II 0–0 Guizhou Zhucheng
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.7%
Model confidence
34.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60