Super LeagueSuper League
Friday, 10 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

Home
WL
43
Full time
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

Away
DLW
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Shandong Luneng(52%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Shandong Luneng
Win probability
Shandong Luneng
52%
Draw
24%
Yunnan Yukun
24%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Shandong Luneng
73
Yunnan Yukun
83
Defence
Shandong Luneng
14
Yunnan Yukun
17
Momentum
Shandong Luneng
50
Yunnan Yukun
44
Danger (xG)
Shandong Luneng
1.80
Yunnan Yukun
2.10
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Shandong Luneng)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match
xG against (Shandong Luneng)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Yunnan Yukun)
2.10
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
WLWW
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
DLWLW

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Shandong Luneng52%
Draw24%
Yunnan Yukun24%

Shandong Luneng leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Shandong Luneng head into this in Super League fixture at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium in mixed form (WL), while Yunnan Yukun arrive in mixed form (DLW). Shandong Luneng have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 33% for Yunnan Yukun over 3 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Shandong Luneng (73/100) and Yunnan Yukun (83/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Shandong Luneng have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Yunnan Yukun have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 2.5 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per away game.

Shandong Luneng have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 7.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Shandong Luneng to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Shandong Luneng 5168%, Draw 2385%, Yunnan Yukun 2447%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Shandong Luneng 1Draws 00 Yunnan Yukun
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
10 Jul 2026
Shandong Luneng
W43
Yunnan Yukun

Recent form

Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

W
vs Yunnan Yukun
10 Jul 2026
43
L
@ Beijing Guoan
4 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Shenyang Urban
27 Jun 2026
51
W
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
16 May 2026
31
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun

D
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
17 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Shandong Luneng
10 Jul 2026
34
W
vs Henan Jianye
3 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Qingdao Jonoon
26 Jun 2026
24
W
vs Shanghai Shenhua
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?

GoalVio's model predicts Shandong Luneng to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shandong Luneng vs Yunnan Yukun?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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