Shandong Lunengvs
Sichuan Jiuniu
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shandong Luneng 1-1 Sichuan Jiuniu
Original prediction
Shandong Luneng
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.7% | 58.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.6% | 20.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.72 | 19.7% | 21.2% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Shandong Luneng
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40