GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/17/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while SHANGHAI SIPG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
SHANGHAI SIPGLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shandong LunengSHANGHAI SIPG
60.9Attack54.5
44.9Defence53.0
56.5Form45.5
55.0Power52.3
1.88xG1.64
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