GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/5/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shanghai Shenhua are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.0 against 53.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengDLWDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Shanghai ShenhuaLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua
60.9Attack60.3
44.9Defence46.0
56.5Form50.8
55.0Power53.6
2.15xG1.82
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