Super LeagueSuper League
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

Home
WL
12
Full time
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye

Away
WL
Jinan Olympic Sports Center
GoalVio prediction
47% confidence
Shandong Luneng(47%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Shandong Luneng
47%
Draw
25%
Henan Jianye
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Shandong Luneng
73
Henan Jianye
94
Defence
Shandong Luneng
14
Henan Jianye
46
Momentum
Shandong Luneng
50
Henan Jianye
50
Danger (xG)
Shandong Luneng
1.80
Henan Jianye
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Shandong Luneng)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Henan Jianye)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Shandong Luneng)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Henan Jianye)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
WLWW
Henan JianyeHenan Jianye
WLLW

Probability breakdown

47% confidence
Shandong Luneng47%
Draw25%
Henan Jianye28%

Shandong Luneng leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Shandong Luneng head into this in Super League fixture at Jinan Olympic Sports Center in mixed form (WL), while Henan Jianye arrive in mixed form (WL). Shandong Luneng have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Henan Jianye over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Shandong Luneng (73/100) and Henan Jianye (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Shandong Luneng have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Henan Jianye have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Henan Jianye have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Shandong Luneng and Henan Jianye in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Shandong Luneng to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Shandong Luneng 4718%, Draw 2501%, Henan Jianye 2781%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Shandong Luneng

Shandong Luneng

W
vs Yunnan Yukun
10 Jul 2026
43
L
@ Beijing Guoan
4 Jul 2026
02
W
@ Shenyang Urban
27 Jun 2026
51
W
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
16 May 2026
31
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye

W
vs Qingdao Jonoon
17 Jul 2026
51
xG 0.0
L
@ Yunnan Yukun
3 Jul 2026
12
L
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
27 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?

GoalVio's model predicts Shandong Luneng to win with 47% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shandong Luneng vs Henan Jianye?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more