GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/25/2023, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shandong Luneng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Shandong Luneng are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Shandong Luneng hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Super League, while Shandong Luneng holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shandong Luneng

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Shandong Luneng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shandong LunengDL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Hangzhou GreentownLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
60.9Attack49.2
44.9Defence42.9
56.5Form46.0
55.0Power47.3
2.31xG1.46
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