Shan Unitedvs
Hang Yuen
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/18/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shan United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shan United 1-1 Hang Yuen
Original prediction
Shan United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.9% | 38.8% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.5% | 27.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 23.5% | 34.1% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Shan United
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Shan United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80