Shan Unitedvs
Ezra
COMPLETEDWorld · ASEAN Club Championship · 9/14/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shan United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shan United 1-0 Ezra
Original prediction
Shan United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 68.8% | 41.9% | -26.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.06 | 17.8% | 23.7% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 6.75 | 13.3% | 34.4% | 21.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Shan United
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Shan United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60