Shams Azar Qazvinvs
Sepahan FC
COMPLETEDIran · Persian Gulf Pro League · 10/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sepahan FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shams Azar Qazvin 0-1 Sepahan FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 Sepahan FC
Original prediction
Sepahan FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.00 | 11.2% | 15.7% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.3% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.44 | 62.5% | 57.2% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Projected Score
Shams Azar Qazvin 0–1 Sepahan FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Sepahan FC
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Sepahan FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40