Shamrock Roversvs
Waterford
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shamrock Rovers 3-2 Waterford
Original prediction
Shamrock Rovers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 62.6% | 65.3% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.6% | 20.3% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 5.85 | 15.8% | 14.3% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60