Shamrock Roversvs
Sligo Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Sligo Rovers, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Shamrock Rovers 4-0 Sligo Rovers
Original prediction
Shamrock Rovers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 81.3% | 76.3% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 7.22 | 12.8% | 15.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 15.73 | 5.9% | 7.8% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Projected Score
Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Sligo Rovers
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
76.3%
Model confidence
76.3%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40