GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 9/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Shamrock Rovers 0-0 Shelbourne

Original prediction

Shamrock Rovers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7553.1%60.4%7.3 pts
Draw3.6225.6%22.6%-3.0 pts
Away4.3621.3%17.0%-4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–013%
  2. 2.2–013%
  3. 3.1–112%

Predicted outcome

Shamrock Rovers

Probability

60.4%

Model confidence

60.4%

Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shamrock RoversDLDLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ShelbourneDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shamrock RoversShelbourne
54.8Attack45.7
67.9Defence51.9
65.5Form43.2
64.6Power49.8
1.77xG0.77
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