GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shamrock Rovers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while PAOK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PAOK

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shamrock RoversDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PAOKWWWLD

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Shamrock RoversPAOK
66.7Attack58.3
0.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
40.7Power54.5
1.61xG1.63
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