Shamrock Roversvs
Drogheda United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shamrock Rovers 3-1 Drogheda United
Original prediction
Shamrock Rovers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 67.3% | 67.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.55 | 20.3% | 20.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 7.42 | 12.4% | 12.2% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00