GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 3/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shamrock Rovers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Premier Division, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shamrock Rovers

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shamrock RoversLDWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Derry CityWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Shamrock RoversDerry City
53.1Attack43.2
70.4Defence60.5
66.7Form40.7
65.3Power50.0
1.42xG0.67
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