Shamrock Roversvs
Derry City
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/3/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Shamrock Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Premier Division, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shamrock Rovers
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 2.25/0.50