GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 3/3/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shamrock Rovers · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Shamrock Rovers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Derry City are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WDLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Shamrock Rovers hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Premier Division, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shamrock Rovers

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shamrock RoversDDLWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Derry CityWDLW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 2.25/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Shamrock RoversDerry City
53.1Attack43.2
70.4Defence60.5
66.7Form40.7
65.3Power50.0
1.42xG0.67
View match centre →