GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/15/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shamrock Rovers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Shamrock Rovers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Celje are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Celje hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Shamrock Rovers holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shamrock Rovers

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Shamrock Rovers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shamrock RoversDLWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CeljeWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shamrock RoversCelje
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
40.7Power47.8
1.63xG1.40
View match centre →