Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khaitan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Shamiya are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Khaitan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Khaitan hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Division 1, while Khaitan holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khaitan
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
17.6%
Khaitan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60