GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 9/3/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sham Shui Po are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 6.50 conceded, while North District are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and North District hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 36.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Premier League, while North District holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North District

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

North District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sham Shui PoLL

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.50/6.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
North DistrictD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Sham Shui PoNorth District
30.0Attack45.0
13.3Defence28.3
20.0Form30.0
23.7Power36.0
1.37xG2.27
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