GGOALVIO

Belarus · 1. Division · 4/8/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lokomotiv Gomel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Shakhtyor Petrikov are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv Gomel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv Gomel hold a 30.2-point power-rating edge (30.4 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.2% in the 1. Division, while Lokomotiv Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lokomotiv Gomel

Probability

71.2%

Model confidence

71.2%

Lokomotiv Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhtyor PetrikovLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv GomelDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Shakhtyor PetrikovLokomotiv Gomel
34.4Attack57.3
25.0Defence58.3
22.9Form64.6
30.4Power60.6
0.85xG2.61
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