Shakhter Soligorskvs
Lida
COMPLETEDBelarus · 1. Division · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Soligorsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Shakhter Soligorsk 1-2 Lida
Original prediction
Shakhter Soligorsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.6% | 50.8% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 20.0% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.4% | 29.2% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Soligorsk
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Shakhter Soligorsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60