Shakhter Karagandyvs
Yelimay Semey 2
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yelimay Semey 2 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 54.9-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
92.5%
Model confidence
16.6%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60