Shakhter Karagandyvs
Tobol 2
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tobol 2 are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.0% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
90.0%
Model confidence
90.0%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/2.33