GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · Premier League · 3/9/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ordabasy · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Shakhter Karagandy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Ordabasy are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ordabasy hold a 28.1-point power-rating edge (45.5 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Premier League, while Ordabasy holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ordabasy

Probability

62.0%

Model confidence

62.0%

Ordabasy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhter KaragandyLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
OrdabasyWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Shakhter KaragandyOrdabasy
40.0Attack63.5
53.3Defence76.2
37.3Form77.8
45.5Power73.6
0.59xG1.77
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