Shakhter Karagandyvs
Okzhetpes
COMPLETEDKazakhstan · Cup · 4/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Shakhter Karagandy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Okzhetpes are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 64.4-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 6.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Cup, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhter Karagandy
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
12.4%
Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40