GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 4/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Shakhter Karagandy are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

87.7%

Model confidence

13.2%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Shakhter KaragandyLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EkibastuzLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Shakhter KaragandyEkibastuz
94.4Attack44.4
87.0Defence42.6
90.7Form48.1
87.7Power47.0
3.69xG0.64
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